The 2022-23 Spanish La Liga Matchday 29 is upon us, so we are breaking down the final match of Sunday’s slate to get you the best Valencia vs. Sevilla betting pick along with the latest team stats, news, and odds update.
Valencia – Sevilla Betting Tip, Prediction & Odds (16.4.2023)
Valencia are in great danger of being relegated, and Sevilla are not far away from the drop zone, so the stakes are high for both sides. The hosts are looking for their first victory over Sevilla in four years, and Los Rojiblancos have struggled on the road lately.
Valencia vs. Sevilla: Initial Situation
Valencia are 18th in La Liga with 27 points (W7, D6, L15) and a 30:34 goal difference. Los Che are two points behind the safe zone and five points behind Sevilla, who occupy the 13th spot (W8, D8, L12; 33:44 goal difference).
Valencia Stats & Form
Los Che are coming off Sunday’s 2-1 defeat against Almeria on the road. It was their third defeat in five matches along with a 1-0 home win over Osasuna and a 1-1 home draw against Rayo Vallecano. In six La Liga matches at home since the World Cup break, Los Che have registered a couple of wins, draws, and losses to go with a 6:6 goal difference.
Justin Kluivert and Edinson Cavani lead the way for Valencia with seven goals apiece in 2022-23. Samuel Lino has accounted for four goals and three assists so far, while Andre Almeida has two goals and four dishes on his season tally.
Sevilla Stats & Form
Los Rojiblancos will visit Manchester United for the first leg of the Europa League quarterfinal on Thursday night, and this game has been excluded from the analysis. Sevilla have been pretty inconsistent as of late, tallying three wins, a pair of stalemates, and five defeats in their last ten matches in all competitions. In their previous eight showings on the road, Sevilla have recorded one win, two draws, five losses, and a terrible 5:17 goal difference.
Youssef En-Nesyri is Sevilla’s top scorer with 14 goals in 36 appearances this season. Los Rojiblancos cannot count on left-back Marcos Acuna (three goals and three assists) and defensive midfielder Pape Gueye (three assists), who are both suspended.
Valencia – Sevilla: Head-to-Head
Valencia are winless in eight straight meetings with Sevilla, recording just three draws in that stretch. The previous two encounters between Valencia and Sevilla have seen a 1-1 stalemate, including their first duel of the season. Sevilla are unbeaten in four consecutive visits to Estadio de Mestalla dating back to 2018 (three draws and a win).
Valencia – Sevilla Odds
Playing in front of the home crowd should help Los Che, so the bookmakers favor Valencia over Sevilla. Unibet Sportsbook offers 2.20 odds on the hosts, while Sevilla are 3.60 underdogs at bet365 Sportsbook. If you are looking for a draw, take it at 3.30 with BetVictor. The bookmakers are looking for a tight contest, and Under 2.5 Goals pays just 1.65 at Unibet.
Sevilla will have to deal with fatigue following a tough road contest against Manchester United. Los Rojiblancos will try to kill the tempo, so if you’re satisfied with 1.65 odds, go with Under 2.5 Goals. Both teams have struggled to score all season. I will take the risk and bet Valencia to win at plus money. Los Che should be able to take advantage of Sevilla’s busy schedule, and I’ve mentioned how bad Sevilla have been away from home lately.
Betting tip and prediction: Valencia – Sevilla (16.4.2023)