The UEFA Champions League Round of 16 starts Tuesday, February 14, 2023, with PSG taking on Bayern at Parc des Princes in Paris, France. We are expecting a great battle between a couple of heavyweights, so let’s take a closer look.
PSG – Bayern Betting Tip, Prediction & Odds (14.2.2023)
The Champions League knock-out stage kicks off with a super-exciting clash between the Parisians and Bavarians. Both teams are legitimate title contenders, and the first leg might be pivotal. Bayern Munich is the second-strongest fave to win the Champions League this season with the odds at 7.50 on bet365, while Paris SG is sitting at 9.00, right behind the Bavarians.
PSG vs. Bayern: Initial Situation
The Parisians finished the group phase second in Group H with 14 points out of six games and a 16:7 goal difference. The Bavarians topped Group C ahead of Inter and Barcelona with six wins and a tremendous 18:2 goal difference.
PSG Stats & Form
Paris SG has dropped two straight games, losing to Marseille 2-1 in the Coupe de France and Monaco 3-1 in the French Ligue 1. Still, PSG is undefeated at home this season, and the Parisians have won six of their previous seven games at Parc des Princes.
Head coach Christophe Galtier has significant selection problems ahead of Tuesday’s game versus Bayern. Kylian Mbappe, Lionel Messi, Renato Sanchez, and Marco Verratti are all recovering from injuries. And while Messi and Verratti might return Tuesday, Mbappe and Sanchez will remain on the shelf. Mbappe has scored 25 goals in 26 appearances so far this season, while Messi has 15 goals in 25 games.
Bayern Stats & Form
The Bavarians have injury problems, too. They cannot count on Manuel Neuer, Lucas Hernandez, Noussair Mazraoui, Ryan Gravenberch, and Sadio Mane. The Bavarians will continue to lean on Jamal Musiala, Leroy Sane, and Serge Gnabry, who have combined for a whopping 37 goals and 28 assists so far this season.
Bayern hasn’t lost a single game since mid-September. The Bavarians are on a three-game winning streak following Saturday’s 3-0 home victory over Bochum in the German Bundesliga. Julian Nagelsmann’s boys have emerged victorious in eight of their previous nine outings away from home.
PSG – Bayern: Head-to-Head
PSG and Bayern lock horns for the first time since 2021 when the Parisians eliminated the Bavarians in the Champions League quarterfinal on away goals. They also met in the 2020 Champions League Final when Bayern beat PSG 1-0.
PSG – Bayern Odds
Paris SG is considered a slight home underdog, mostly because of Kylian Mbappe’s injury. Neymar will lead the way for the Parisians, but the bookies believe Bayern owns more depth. We should see some goals in the first leg, and the Over 2.5 Goals pays just 1.50 on bet365.
PSG’s shaky defense has conceded in five straight games in all competitions. I would be shocked if the hosts manage to keep their net intact when they face off against Bayern Munich’s prolific offense. PSG still owns enough firepower to score against the Bavarians, so I’m looking for both teams to find the back of the net. Julian Nagelsmann prefers to play attacking football, and that won’t change in the first leg of the Champions League Round of 16. The Bavarians have scored 17 goals in their last six games on the road including three against mighty Barcelona. Also, seven of their last ten games overall have seen both teams score.
Betting tip and prediction: PSG – Bayern (14.2.2023)