Peru vs. Brazil Copa America Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds
Round 3 of the 2019 Copa America Group A will end with the battle for the top spot between massive favourites Brazil, and Peru.
Peru vs. Brazil
- Copa America
- Arena Corinthians, Sao Paulo, Brazil
- Saturday 22 June
- 20:00 UK Time
Peru vs. Brazil Game Preview
The derby of Group A between Peru and Brazil will likely give us an answer who will end at the top of the group but there is an interesting possible scenario in which Peru, Brazil, and Venezuela finish with five points apiece. Brazil are strong favourites in this one but they were also favourites against Venezuela and failed to get three points, so Peru certainly have their chances to spoil Tite’s plans and upset the hosts.
Peru Team News and Latest Form
This is Peru’s biggest test yet, and though they are firm outsiders, any result is likely to be a tight one. Tellingly, each of their last five Copa America matches against CONMEBOL opposition currently ranked in FIFA’s top-20 have been settled by a margin of fewer than 1.5 goals (W1, D2, L2).
While there could be a tight scoreline forthcoming, three of Peru’s last four matches against fellow South Americans (including friendlies) have not been short of a quick-fire start, seeing an opening goal inside the first half-hour. Additionally, two of the last three in that category have also seen a goal beyond the 89th minute.
Both of Peru’s victories in 2019 to yield a 1-0 scoreline have seen Christian Cueva net the winner. Four of Peru’s last six matches have produced under 2.5 total match goals, with only one of those six seeing both teams score.
Brazil Team News and Latest Form
Unbeaten in 12 matches ahead of kick-off (W10, D2), Brazil stand as rightful favourites, even though they were 1-0 losers against Peru in their last Copa America meeting back in 2016. That defeat remains Brazil’s only loss against CONMEBOL opponents outside of FIFA’s current top-20 since October 2009.
Brazil have also opened the scoring on ten occasions across the 12 matches played since their World Cup elimination (W9, D1). Seven of those wins yielded a margin of multiple goals, with Brazil scoring 3+ goals in the second half of three games out of the last four in that category.
Young Brazil forward Everton scored the final goal (and his first for Brazil) against Bolivia in his nation’s victorious opener. Could three be the magic number? Three of Brazil’s last four Copa America victories have contained exactly three-match goals.
Peru vs. Brazil Head to Head
Peru and Brazil have met 30 times since 1936 and Brazil are leading in all-time H2H duels with 20 victories while Peru recorded three wins with seven draws. Brazil suffered just one defeat to Peru in this century and it was at the previous Copa America and that loss cost Brazil a place in the quarter-finals as they finished third in the group behind Peru and Ecuador. The last Copa America H2H tilt was the second in succession to see one team win after a level half-time score.
Peru vs. Brazil Betting Tip
Brazil are big favourites to get a win here but backing them at miserable 1/3 odds is surely something you’d like to ignore. A lot of punters lost their money on Brazil against Venezuela and we saw that even Uruguay failed to beat Japan on even lower odds, so we don’t advise you to pick Brazil to win here. They kept their clean sheet in both matches so far and the Peruvians seem capable of scoring one. A 1-1 result is rather often when these two teams meet and that’s why we’re backing both teams to score at 11/10 with 22Bet.
