Round 27 of the 2022-23 Italian Serie A season brings some very interesting matches, including the Derby della Capitale from Stadio Olimpico in Rome, so we have prepared the best Lazio vs. AS Roma betting pick and odds.
Lazio – AS Roma Betting Tip, Prediction & Odds (19.3.2023)
The stake is enormous, as both Lazio and AS Roma are fighting for Champions League qualification. We are expecting a great battle between a couple of arch-rivals, so let’s take a closer look.
Lazio vs. AS Roma: Initial Situation
Lazio are third in Serie A with 49 points (W14, D7, L5) and a 41:19 goal difference. AS Roma are fifth with 47 points (W14, D5, L7) and a 35:25 goal difference. Both teams play in Europe on Thursday night, and their matches have been excluded from the analysis.
Lazio Stats & Form
After a surprising 1-0 road victory over Napoli in Round 25 of the Serie A, the Eagles have recorded a couple of disappointing results. They lost to AZ Alkmaar 2-1 at home in the first leg of the Conference League Round of 16 and drew 0-0 against Bologna on the road in Round 26 of the Italian top tier. The Eagles have been pretty inconsistent at home lately, tallying a couple of wins and losses and one draw in their previous five showings at Stadio Olimpico.
Ciro Immobile leads the way for Lazio with 11 goals and five assists in 27 appearances in all competitions this season, but the 33-year-old striker is doubtful to play against AS Roma due to a thigh injury. Wingers Felipe Anderson and Mattia Zaccagni have accounted for eight goals and six assists apiece, while midfielder Sergej Milinkovic-Savic has six goals and eight dishes on his season tally.
AS Roma Stats & Form
The Yellow and Reds suffered a shocking 4-3 home loss to Sassuolo last Sunday. They were 3-1 down at halftime and didn’t stand a chance of coming back because Marash Kumbulla was sent off in the dying moments of the first half. It was AS Roma’s second loss in three league games along with a big 1-0 home victory over Juventus.
Paulo Dybala leads the charge for AS Roma, and the 29-year-old forward has bagged 13 goals in 27 apps in all competitions this season to go with eight assists. Striker Tammy Abraham has accounted for seven goals and six dishes across 36 matches, while midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini has added five goals and eight assists in 31 appearances. Pellegrini is questionable to play against Lazio due to a concussion.
Lazio – AS Roma: Head-to-Head
Lazio have won three of their last five encounters with AS Roma while losing the other two. The Eagles beat AS Roma 1-0 in their first meeting of the season, as Felipe Anderson found the back of the net in the 29th minute. These two foes share Stadio Olimpico, and AS Roma are winless in six straight meetings with Lazio when playing as visitors, earning a couple of draws in the process. Five of the last eight encounters between Lazio and AS Roma have seen fewer than three goals on the scoreboard.
Lazio – AS Roma Odds
The odds tell the story. We should see a tight battle that could easily go three-way. Both teams prefer to take a cautious approach, and it’s hard to separate them. Unibet offers 1.50 on Under 2.5 Goals, while Both Teams to Score NO pays 1.70 at bet365 Sportsbook.
I would like to take Under 2.5 Goals, but the odds are not tempting at all. Everything else feels like a coin flip. Lazio own the second-best scoring defense in Serie A, and AS Roma are not bad at all, as a 4-3 loss to Sassuolo is certainly an outlier. Keep in mind that both clubs will have just a couple of days to rest following European matches on the road. Hereof, taking a risk with a draw at 3.00 odds seems reasonable.
Betting tip and prediction: Lazio – AS Roma (19.3.2023)