Formula 1 Mexican Grand Prix betting tips and F1 predictions
Now that the winners of the world and constructors’ titles are known, the pressure is off for many drivers. Max Verstappen proved unbeatable this season, but the battle for second place is still in full swing. Sergio Pérez is in third place behind Charles Leclerc. Will he manage to finish ahead of the Ferrari at home? Or will it once again be Max Verstappen who walks away with a victory?
In this preview, we look ahead to the Mexico GP. We look at the results of the US GP and discuss the bookmakers’ favourites. We also cover the associated odds and share a betting tip with you.
F1 GP Mexico, Autódromo Hermanos Rodriguez – News
The Autódromo Hermanos Rodriguez has been back on the Formula 1 calendar since 2015. At 2250 metres above sea level, it is the highest circuit of the season. This has a lot of impact on the downforce and engine power of the race cars. The 4.3km circuit offers plenty of overtaking opportunities in the first corners. It promises to be an entertaining race.
The Mexican Grand Prix is one in the late hours. The weekend kicks off with the first free practice session on Friday 28 October at 19:00 UK time. Qualifying will kick off Saturday night 29 October at 22:00. Sunday 30 October is then time for the race. It will start at 20:00 GMT+1 time.
As in Japan, we also see a deviation in the timetable of the Mexico GP. Namely, the second free practice session lasts an hour and a half. Normally a free practice session lasts an hour, but as the drivers have to test Pirelli tyres for next season, an extra half-hour is scheduled.
Retrospective United States Grand Prix, Circuit of The Americas
Max Verstappen started last weekend at the Circuit of the Americas behind Carlos Sainz. Sainz started from pole position, but was pushed back to second after a good start by Verstappen. Sainz was then nudged by George Russell’s Mercedes and fell away completely.
The Dutchman soon extended his lead, but after a failed pit stop, Lewis Hamilton gained the lead. Verstappen was livid, but managed to regain his concentration. Every lap, he snatched a few milliseconds off Hamilton’s lap times. Once again, we saw a good duel between the Englishman and Verstappen, as we knew from the previous season. It went hard against hard, but in the end Verstappen managed to retake the lead. He crossed the finish line in Austin first, followed by Lewis Hamilton. Charles Leclerc finished third.
For Verstappen, this was victory number thirteen. He thus equalled the record of most wins in a season held by Sebastian Vettel and Michael Schumacher. And that was not the only reason for celebration. Thanks to the victory and a fourth-place finish by his teammate Sergio Pérez, Red Bull has now also won the Constructors’ title.
Prediction F1 GP Mexico, Autódromo Hermanos Rodriguez – Who are the favourites?
The battle for the World and Constructor titles have already been decided, but hopefully that does not take away from the fact that the race in Mexico will be an exciting battle. We discuss the favourites for the F1 GP Mexico one by one. Who are the most likely according to the bookmakers?
Max Verstappen
As in previous races, Max Verstappen is the biggest contender for victory according to the bookies. The Dutchman has already had a fantastic season so far: he became world champion for the second time in a row and gave Red Bull Racing the constructors’ title together with his teammate Pérez.
The Red Bull driver also has a chance to break the record for most wins in a season. That record is currently held by Michael Schumacher – he achieved that number with Ferrari in 2004 – and Sebastian Vettel, who repeated it in a Red Bull car in 2014. Verstappen also now stands on 13 victories and so can add his name to the list. With three races to go, the world champion is likely to break the record.
The previous edition of the Mexican Grand Prix was won by Verstappen. In 2017 and 2018, the Dutchman also managed a win at the Autódromo Hermanos Rodriguez Circuit.
Charles Leclerc
Charles Leclerc achieved good results at the beginning of the season and was seen as Verstappen’s biggest rival. Meanwhile, the world title has already been given away, making the Ferrari driver’s goal no longer achievable. Leclerc is now second in the standings. However, the Monegasque should not count himself rich by any means, as the number three, Sergio Pérez, is breathing down his neck. The difference is just two points.
At the US GP, Leclerc crossed the line in third place. He lost one place compared to his starting position. For the past five races, Leclerc has finished on the podium, and with that he seems to be regaining his old form.
Sergio Pérez
For Sergio Pérez, the Mexico GP is a home race. The Mexican will give everything this race to get a good result and entertain his home crowd. This season, Pérez has already managed to take the podium nine times. At the street circuits of Monaco and Mexico, he even finished in first place.
The Red Bull driver saw his Dutch teammate win in Japan and take the world title. He also saw Verstappen come away with a victory in the United States last week. Pérez’s fourth-place finish meant the Red Bull Racing men clinched the constructors’ title. Currently, the Mexican is third in the standings. He is just two points behind Leclerc. If Pérez finishes above Leclerc in the upcoming race, he will take over second place from the Monegasque.
Last year, Pérez crossed the finish line just behind Lewis Hamilton. The Mexican finished third. With Max Verstappen in first position, it was a double podium for Red Bull.
Lewis Hamilton
Twice before, Lewis Hamilton managed a win at the Mexico circuit. In 2016 and 2019, the Briton managed to take the race to his name. Last year, he saw his biggest rival Verstappen cross the finish line first. Hamilton then finished second himself.
This season has not been Hamilton’s or Mercedes’ season. The driver made it to the podium seven times, but failed to reach a win. After a long podium-less run, Hamilton showed his best side again last weekend. The Briton was on the hunt for his first win this season, but eventually had to cede the lead to reigning world champion Verstappen. Hamilton did manage to get himself back on the podium by finishing second.
The Englishman is sixth in the rankings and is just four points behind Carlos Sainz. So if Hamilton finishes above Sainz, he could move up one spot in the standings.
Carlos Sainz jr.
For Carlos Sainz, too, this season has just not been it all. A big driver error in Japan proved fatal; he retired early. This was not the first time, as the Spaniard was also unable to finish his race in the races in Australia, Italy (Emilia-Romagna), Azerbaijan and Austria. Last week in the US did not fare any better either. After qualifying well and starting from pole position, the Ferrari car was tapped off the track on the first lap by George Russell.
The best result Sainz achieved at the Autódromo Hermanos Rodriguez Circuit was eighth place. That was last year. With this season’s well-performing Ferrari car, Sainz will have to be able to improve on that result. Because of his unfinished races, the Spaniard will be extra keen to get a good result in Mexico though.
George Russell
George Russell is running a good season. His results have been consistent; in nineteen races he has finished in the top five sixteen times. Only once did he fail to cross the finish line, which was in the Great Britain race. The Briton made it to the podium seven times this season. His best result was second place at the Zandvoort circuit. These tidy results currently put him fourth in the standings.
Last year, Russell finished 16th in Mexico. Good to know, though: he was still driving for Williams then. This year, Russell’s chances are considerably higher due to Mercedes’ car.
Betting on F1 GP Mexico, Autódromo Hermanos Rodriguez: Tip & Quote
Now that you know about the favourites for the F1 GP of Mexico, it’s time to share our betting tip with you. Max Verstappen is the big favourite thanks to his strong and convincing wins. We therefore think Verstappen will manage to secure another victory, but we think teammate Pérez also has a good chance of getting a great result.
Since the Singapore race, Pérez has been in good form. We expect him to show his best side in his home race as well. At the previous edition of the GP in Mexico, the Mexican finished second. We are predicting Pérez will finish in the top three this time too. This comes with a odds of 1.68.
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