Table-toppers Paris Saint-Germain look to maintain their unbeaten start to the season, and make it six home league wins from six matches, as they play host to a Nice side who are just one point outside the bottom three. PSG sit atop the French Ligue 1 table and are unbeaten after ten league matches. However, they survived a big scare away to Marseille last weekend. Neymar was sent off and they required a 92nd minute equaliser from Edinson Cavani in a 2-2 draw to keep their unbeaten run going. Despite that scare, they are still head and shoulders above everyone else in this league. They are four points clear at the top, have scored thirty-one goals and conceded just eight.
France Ligue 1 – Princepark, Paris Friday 27th October – 19:45 UK Time
|
Draw Best Odd of: 6 at Ladbrokes |
|
Paris
NiceEintracht Fran
At home, they are simply unstoppable. They have scored nineteen and conceded just four in five consecutive league victories this season. It has been nineteen months since their last home defeat in any competition, with a 2-0 league loss to Monaco in March 2016. Recent League Form – DWWDWW.
Nice
Nice are struggling this season, with just three wins in their ten league matches, and sit fourteenth in the Ligue 1 table. That is just one point above the bottom three, and they are on a run of four matches without a win. Their last three in the league have been defeats, with eight goals conceded in that time. Their last victory came via a 1-0 win away at Rennes on 17th September, and they are in danger of becoming involved in a relegation battle unless they can improve their results quickly.
Most people give them little to no chance of getting a positive result from this match, with many predicting a complete annihilation. If Nice can prove the doubters wrong, it may give them the confidence required to string a run of good results together and climb up the table. Recent League Form – LLLDWW.
Head to Head
PSG have the advantage with regards head to head statistics. They have won eighteen of the thirty-seven meetings since 1994. Nice have won eleven and eight have been draws. From April 2013 until this year, PSG had won eight of nine meetings but that run was ended when Nice won the most recent meeting in April. On that occasion, Nice picked up a 3-1 home victory over a PSG side reduced to nine men after Motta and Di Maria were both sent off late on. That was Nice’s first victory over PSG since December 2012. As hosts, PSG have won ten of nineteen meetings with Nice winning four, and five ending in a draw. The last time Nice won away at PSG was in November 2009, and PSG are on a run of eight unbeaten as the home side in this fixture.
Betting Odds and Predictions
As expected, PSG are a short-priced betting favourite for the victory in this match and it would be difficult to argue against this outcome. Ladbrokes have the hosts priced at 2/11 for the win. Nice are 16, and the draw is priced at 6. We cannot see any other result than a convincing victory for PSG here. Nice aren’t in top form and PSG are simply unbeatable at home, and have been for well over a year. PSG are averaging just under four goals a game at home this season, and we think they will find it easy to score plenty against a team who have been conceding almost three a game in recent weeks.
The hosts to score Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 4/6, and Over 3.5 is 13/8. We think Over 2.5 for PSG is most likely, and odds of 4/6 are decent considering their attacking prowess. As already mentioned, we believe this will be a routine win for PSG and think the best Nice can hope for is a goal. Punters who think the visitors will get on the scoresheet would be best advised to back Both Teams to Score at odds of 1/1. Edinson Cavani netted his ninth league goal of the season at Marseille last week, and we believe he will find the net again here. He is priced at 1/3 to score anytime, 5/4 to score a brace, and 4/1 to bag a hat-trick. Cavani to score first and PSG to win is priced at 2/11.
Top Betting Tip
We believe PSG will win this match comfortably, but backing them in the match result market provides no value. Therefore, our top betting tip for this match is PSG to win with a -1 handicap. This is available for slightly better odds of 4/9 with bet365.