Spain and Germany were not among the top three favorites to win the trophy going into the tournament, but at this point, they look very good going into the quarterfinal. Germany will have a slight advantage given the home crowd support when the two teams collide at MHPArena in Stuttgart on July 5th.
Spain vs Germany: Initial situation
Spain is the only team at EURO 2024 with a perfect record after four games, and Germany was also very solid, reaching the quarterfinal. Both teams are full of confidence that they can go through to the last four, but at the same time, are aware of the capabilities of the opponent.
Spain Stats & Form
Spain made it to the round of 16 without allowing any goal in the group stage of the competition but had a tough start of the game against Georgia, scoring an own goal early in the game. However, Spain did not lose control and kept playing their game which saw them scoring an equalizer by the halftime break after Rodri’s goal. In the second half, Spain completely dominated the pitch and made it through to the quarterfinals with a 4-1 win. Fabian Ruiz, Nico Williams and Dani Olmo scored for Spain.
Sain proved they are here to win with their dominant performance in the group stage of the competition after winning all three games against Croatia, Italy and Albania, without allowing any goal.
Spain has won their last six games and eight of the last ten. Five of their last seven games went over 2.5 goals in total.
Germany Stats & Form
Germany had a real test in the round of 16 facing Denmark, who has been a tough opponent for them in the past, but the home team showed a high level of confidence and got the job done with a routine 2-0 win. Both teams had a disallowed goal before Kai Havertz gave Germany the lead from the penalty spot. Denmark pushed hard in a search for an equalizer, but their hopes were cut short when Jamal Musiala gave Germany a 2-0 lead in the 68th minute, which was the final score of the game.
Germany showed some level of vulnerability in the last game of the group stage when they played 1-1 against Switzerland, winning a point with a goal in the stoppage time. Before that, they defeated Hungary by 2-0 after opening the tournament with a 5-1 win over Scotland.
Germany has six wins, two draws, and two losses in the last ten games. Six of their last ten games, including the last three, ended under 2.5 goals in total.
Spain vs Germany: Head to Head
These two teams have played 17 times before, with Germany winning six times and Spain five, while six games have ended in a tie, including three of the last four. The last time they played was in the group stage at the 2022 FIFA World Cup, when the score was 1-1. Spain won 6-0 in the Nations League in 2021 at home, while the game in Germany ended with no goals. The last time Germany defeated Spain was a 1-0 win in a friendly game ten years ago. Six of the last ten games between these two teams ended with under 2.5 goals in total.
Spain vs Germany Odds
Spain is a slight favorite going into this game with 150 odds going in their favor while the odds for Germany’s win are at 190. The odds for a draw are 225.
The total goal margin is set at 2.5 with 100 for over and -125 for under.
Betting tip and prediction: Spain vs Germany (05.07.2024)
This game can rightfully be called the final before the final as the home team Germany will take on Spain, the best team so far in the competition. These two teams are the most successful in the history of the competition, with each side winning the trophy three times so far.
Both teams showed high-quality football so far in the tournament, having control over the ball most of the time, barely allowing any goal. Germany is well known for their tough style of play, while Spain is a more dynamic squad that has great ball movement and can create scoring opportunities seemingly out of nowhere.
The stakes are very high going into this game, with the chance of going into the semifinals on the line. Both teams have a lot of respect for each other, and none of them will go aggressively from the start. Defending the goal will be the key for both teams, so it will take a while before any of them scores, so we go with under 2.5 goals in total.