Both teams came into the tournament as two of the biggest favorites to win the trophy, and here they are, one game away from the final. This game will be an epic battle at the Allianz Arena on July 9th.
Spain vs France: Initial situation
Spain is the best team so far in the tournament, and after eliminating the host nation, it feels like no one can stand on their way to the title. Still, France has found a way to get among the top four teams even though they scored only one goal by themselves, if not the penalties included. Spain is going into this game as a slight favorite, but anything is possible.
Spain Stats & Form
Spain has a pretty young roster at this tournament, but the manager, Luis de la Fuente, has done a great job getting the best out of his players. They dominated the pitch in the quarterfinals against Germany and played amazingly under pressure, which paid off in the last moments of extra time when Mikel Merino scored the game-winner with a wonderful header. Spain could have gotten the job done in regulation after Dani Olmo put them ahead early in the second half, but Germany took the game to extra time with Florian Wirtz’s late equalizer.
In the previous round, Spain showed their dominance in the 4-1 win over Georgia, even though they allowed the first goal of the game. Spain was the only team in the tournament to win all three games in the group stage, and they did that in a group against serious contenders like Croatia, Italy, and Albania.
Spain has won the last six games and eight of the last ten. In six of their last eight games, there were at least three goals in total.
France Stats & Form
France made it this far in the tournament even though they are not even close to their best game, especially on the offensive end. They were the better team in the quarterfinal game against Portugal, but they needed the penalty shootout to go through. Things were quite better in the quarterfinal game against Belgium, as Jan Vertongen scored an own goal to help France advance to the top four teams in the quarterfinal.
In the group stage, France won only one game in the opening round, and again, it was an own goal by Austria that made the difference. On the second matchday of the tournament, France played 0-0 with the Netherlands and made it through after a 1-1 draw against Poland.
France has five wins, four draws, and one loss in their last ten games. Their last six games finished under 2.5 goals in total.
Spain vs France: Head to Head
These two teams have played 15 times before, with France winning seven times and Spain six, while two games have ended in a tie. France won their last match 2-1 in the final of the League of Nations in 2021. Spain won the previous friendly game in 2017 by 2-0. These two met in the quarterfinals of the 2012 EURO, when Spain won 2-0. France won the same stage of the EURO 2000 by 2-1. Seven of the last eight games between the two ended with under 2.5 goals in total.
Spain vs France Odds
Spain is a slight favorite going into this game with 155 odds going in their favor while the odds for France’s win are at 220. The odds for a draw are 190.
The total goal margin is set at 2.5 with 150 for over and -180 for under.
Betting tip and prediction: Spain vs France (09.07.2024)
France has one of the best rosters in the tournament, but they managed to score only one goal by themselves, and luck played a major role on their road to the semifinals. Kylian Mbappe is still struggling after the nose injuries, and even though he is very active on the pitch, it is obvious that he is not on a recognizable level. France in general plays well; they create scoring opportunities, but converting them into goals has been a major issue so far in the tournament.
Spain, on the other hand, is playing excellently, and their young team is confident that they can beat anybody, which they proved by eliminating the host nation, Germany, in the quarterfinals. Spain is very aggressive and makes a quick transition from defense into offense. They have multiple scoring options up front and are the favorites to win this one. France will be a huge obstacle as they are expected to pick up their game, but Spain is the team that will advance to the final regardless of whether they need extra time or penalties to do that.