France is already through to the elimination stage of the European Championship and will have a chance to get there as the top seed from the group in the match against Poland. The game will take place on Tuesday, June 25th.
France vs Poland: Initial situation
Poland has lost both of the games in the group stage so far and will pack their bags after the game against France, regardless of the final score. France is in a much better situation, playing against a team with no significant motive, with the top seed in the group on the line.
France Stats & Form
France is in a promising situation, being tied for first place in Group D, even though they scored only one goal in the first two games, and actually, it was their own goal. In the opening matchday, France defeated Austria 1-0 after Maximilian Wober hit his own net right before halftime. France did not dominate that game, and the key moment was Kylian Mbappee’s nose fracture that left him on the bench in the second matchday. There, France played 0-0 against the Netherlands since both teams were satisfied with a draw. France was the team that dominated possession and had 16 shots but failed to score. France has six wins, three draws, and a loss in the last ten games. Germany is the only team that managed to beat France. They have played under 2.5 goals in their last three games and five of the last ten.
Poland Stats & Form
Poland had a promising start to EURO 2024, taking the lead against the Netherlands in the opening game after Adam Buksa scored in the 16th minute. However, Poland could not hold on to the lead and lost the game in the final ten minutes of time. In the second matchday, they were competitive against Austria, with both teams scoring before halftime, but Austria was a much better team after the break and won the game 3-1. These two losses were Poland’s only in the last ten games. Besides them, they have six wins and two draws. Poland managed to score in each of their last ten games.
France vs Poland: Head to Head
These two teams have played nine times before, with France winning five times, Poland once and three games have ended in a tie. The last time they met was in the round of 16 at the 2022 World Cup when France won 3-1. Poland’s only win came in the third place match at the 1982 World Cup when the score was 3-2. Five of the last six games between the two teams have ended under 2.5 goals.
France vs Poland Odds
France is a major favorite going into this game with -333 odds going in their favor while the odds for Poland’s win are at 900. The odds for a draw are 475.
The total goals margin is set at 2.5 with -167 for over and 130 for under.
Betting tip and prediction: France vs Poland (25.06.2024)
France has an open path toward first place in Group D. They played pretty well in the first two games, but not even close as well as everyone expected. Scoring only one goal in the first two games is not something Didier Deschamps cannot be satisfied with. However, that was enough to win four points so far, and moving on to the next stage is unquestionable.
Poland has already packed their bags and is going home after this game, regardless of the score. After eight games without a loss, they have lost both games so far in the tournament and cannot change anything against France. Poland’s top goal scorer, Robert Lewandowski, was not 100% healthy, and that took a toll on their play.
He would probably miss this game, but even with him at top speed, France is simply the better team. France will try to win the game in a dominant fashion to go through as the top seed in the group and will also use this game to boost their confidence. Therefore, we go with France winning this game by covering the -1.5-goal spread.