England is in a good situation going into the final matchday of the group stage, but anything other than being the top seed in the group will be some sort of problem for them. The Three Lions will face Slovenia at the RheinEnergieStadion in Koln on June 25th.
England vs Slovenia: Initial situation
England and Slovenia are going into the final matchday of Group C with hopes of moving on to the next stage. England is in a way better situation since they have four points and will most likely go through even if they lose. Slovenia, on the other hand, has no other option but to try to beat the top favorite in the tournament in order to go through.
England Stats & Form
England came into the tournament as the top favorite to win the title and is in a promising situation after two matchdays. Many expected them to win all three games in the group stage, but after defeating Serbia 1-0 in the first game, they played 1-1 against Denmark. England has five wins in the last ten games, with three draws and two losses. Iceland and Brazil are the only two teams to beat England in that stretch, and those are the only games in which England failed to score. Seven of the last ten games and the last three have ended under 2.5 goals in total.
Slovenia Stats & Form
Slovenia is back at the EURO for the first time in 24 years, and they already proved they belong here. They took an early lead against Denmark in the first game but could not hold on to it and won only one point from that one. The same happened in the second one against Serbia, as Slovenia got on the board in the second half and allowed a goal in the last seconds of the game. Slovenia has only one loss in the last 10 games, with five wins and four draws. Three of those draws came in the last three games, all identical, 1-1. Six of the last ten games for Slovenia stayed under 2.5 goals in total.
England vs Slovenia: Head to Head
These two teams have played six times before with England winning five of those games and one finishing in a tie. They played within the same qualifying group for the 2018 World Cup when England won 1-0 at home while there were no goals in the game in Slovenia. They also faced in the qualifiers for the 2016 EURO, this time England won twice, 3-1 at home and 3-2 on the road. The met in the group stage of the 2010 World Cup in South Africa and England won 1-0.
England vs Slovenia Odds
England is a major favorite going into this game with -333 odds going in their favor while the odds for the Slovenia’s win are at 900. The odds for a draw are 450.
The total goals margin is set at 2.5 with -133 for over and 110 for under.
Betting tip and prediction: England vs Slovenia (25.06.2024)
England looks the best they have been in the last couple of decades, and this may be the tournament when they finally bring the trophy home. The mix of experienced players and young and uprising stars seems like a winning combination.
They expected to have six points in this stage of the tournament, but Denmark proved to be a tough opponent, and England did not push as hard in that one. They took the lead but after Denmark tied the score, England did not risk and preferred to settle for a point.
Now England will face Slovenia, a team that needs to stay undefeated in order to finish third and hope to advance to the next stage.
England can go through even with a tie, but there is no doubt that they will go 100% in this game in order to win the group and have an easier opponent in the round of 16 stage.
Slovenia has one of the best goalkeepers in the world, Jan Oblak, but the rest of the crew is just average. England will have full control of this game and will win it, covering the -1.5-goal spread.