Serie A leaders Napoli look to maintain their unbeaten record and lead at the top of the table as they play host to AC Milan, who need to pick up points to prevent them falling further behind the top six. Napoli sit atop the Italian football league and are unbeaten after twelve matches, with ten wins and two draws.
At home, they have won four and drawn one. That draw came against third placed Inter Milan, who are also unbeaten. It may have been two points dropped but Napoli are the only team to prevent Inter scoring this season, so there were several positives to take from the match. A 0-0 draw at mid-table Chievo last time out is their worst result of the season and they will be looking to bounce back from that with a win in this match. Recent League Form – DWWDWW.
Italian Serie A – Stadio San Paolo, Naples – Friday 18th November – 19:45 UK Time
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Draw Best Odd of: 17/5 at Ladbrokes |
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Napoli
AC MilanAC Milan
AC Milan have won two of their last three matches, which looks like decent form. However, it doesn’t look so good when you consider that they are their only two victories in the last seven. A positive for them to bring into this match is that those two wins were both away from home, one being against a Chievo side who held Napoli to a draw recently. Milan currently sit four points behind Sampdoria in sixth, having played one more game, so they cannot afford to drop any more points if they want to keep themselves in with a chance of qualifying for Europe. Recent League Form – WLWDLL.
Head to Head
Napoli have completely dominated this fixture in recent years, winning four of the last five and losing just once in twelve meetings. The last time Milan beat Napoli was at home in December 2014, and they haven’t picked up an away victory at Napoli since October 2010. Most recently, in January this year, Napoli were 2-0 up inside nine minutes and then held on to pick up a 2-1 away victory. The last time these sides met with Napoli at home, the hosts won 4-2 in a match that saw the visitors reduced to nine men following two red cards. Both teams have scored in each of the last three meetings, and seven of the last ten.
Betting Odds and Predictions
As expected, given their recent form and status as league leaders, Napoli are a red-hot betting favourite to win this match. Coral have the home side priced at 1/2, with AC Milan at odds of 11/2. The draw is priced at 17/5. With Napoli in great form at present, along with their dominance in this fixture in recent years, we cannot see anything other than a home win here.
With odds of 9/20 in the match result market not providing much value, we must look elsewhere in search of a decent profit. Perhaps a better bet is to back the hosts in the Half Time/Full Time market, at odds of 11/10. They have led at the break in three of the last four against Milan and we are pretty confident they will again here.
Napoli have netted at least three goals in four of their five home matches in the league this season, and in three of their last four at home to Milan. So, it’s possible they will score three goals again here and punters can get odds of 5/4 for the home side to score Over 2.5 Goals. Obviously, if the home side net several goals it’s likely the overall match goals will be Over 2.5 as well. This is priced at 9/20, which is the same price as Napoli to win. It’s possible there will be even more goals and odds of 11/10 are available for Over 3.5 Goals. Napoli to Win and Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 19/20.
Top Betting Tip
Our top betting tip for this match is Napoli in the HT/FT market, at odds of 11/10 with Betway.