Every season there seems to be one team that causes a surprise in the Premier League and this term, Burnley are fitting that bill. They aren’t going to do a Leicester City and win the title but are an outside tip to get into Europe and a home game against 19th placed Swansea is another good opportunity to earn three points.
Match Preview: Burnley v Swansea
Premier League – Saturday, 18th November, 16:00 CET – Turf Moor, Burnley
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Draw Best Odd of: 11/5 at Ladbrokes |
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Burnley
SwanseaBurnley start the weekend in seventh place on 19 points with just two league defeats. Last season they got a string of home wins and barely any away points, but it’s been a different story this season with eight points at home from five games and eleven away. Goals have been in short supply at Turf Moor with just five in five league games and this match against Swansea doesn’t look like one that will provide a goal glut. Burnley have Chris Wood but he’s unlikely to be 100 percent after travelling around the world on World Cup duty for New Zealand this week.
Swansea City are one from bottom in the table with just two wins and seven league goals this season. They have failed to replace the talent that has been sold and even though they have Tammy Abraham up front, he’s only scored in three league games. Their away form has been steady with five points from five games, but they did get a draw at Tottenham but followed that up with defeats at Arsenal and West Ham. Only six goals have been scored in their away league games scoring three and conceding three and now they come up against a mean Burnley defence.
Conclusion
As you will see from the stats below, this game has under 2.5 goals scored written all over it. Both teams lack a consistent scorer, though Abraham will improve the more he plays but needs more help from his team mates. Burnley are only three points off the top four and the suggestion here is a Burnley home win in a game with under 2.5 goals scored in it.
The Key Stats: Burnley v Swansea
- Burnley’s last four league wins have all been by a score of 1-0.
- All five Burnley home league games this season have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 11 of the last 13 Burnley home league games.
- None of the last ten Swansea away league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Swansea have failed to score in six of their last ten away Premier League games.
- Six of the last eight games between these two sides have seen under 2.5 goals scored.