Mid-table Mainz look to get their season back on track with a victory as they play host to seventh-placed Frankfurt in the German Bundesliga. Mainz have struggled this season and find themselves in twelfth place, just three points outside the relegation places. They looked to be bouncing back from just one victory in their opening five matches, with an unbeaten run of three matches. However, that brief fightback was halted with a 2-0 defeat at Schalke last weekend. At home, they have won their last two and that will give them enough confidence to believe they will come out on top in this match. Recent League Form – LWDWLL.
German Bundesliga – Coface Arena, Mainz Friday 27th October – 19:30 UK Time
|
Draw Best Odd of: 11/5 at Ladbrokes |
|
Mainz 05
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
Frankfurt have been inconsistent this season, winning four of their nine league matches. They have suffered three defeats and drawn twice. However, they sit just two points off the top four and held table-toppers Dortmund to a 2-2 draw last weekend. That result, coming back from 2-0 down to earn a point against the leaders, was possibly their best of the season and it took their unbeaten run to three. They have only lost once in their last five, to third-placed RB Leipzig, and they have picked up more points away than what they have at home. That defeat at Leipzig is their only loss from five matches on their travels this season. Recent League Form – DWWLWL.
Head to Head
The overall head to head record is completely level between these sides, with seven wins apiece and twelve draws from twenty-six meetings since 1996. However, Frankfurt haven’t beaten Mainz away in thirteen attempts during that time. As hosts, Mainz have won six and there have been seven draws. Mainz have won the last four meetings as the home team, with Frankfurt last picking up a draw in April 2013. Frankfurt have had five players sent off in their last eight visits to Mainz.
Overall, Frankfurt have won two of the last three meetings. Mainz won the most recent with a 4-2 home victory in May this year.
Betting Odds and Predictions
Mainz are a narrow favourite here, which we believe is due to their better head to head record when playing host to Frankfurt. Ladbrokes have the home side priced at odds of 6/4, with Frankfurt at 15/8. The draw, which is a big possibility in this fixture, is priced at 11/5. With Frankfurt having the better form this season, and Mainz holding a clear advantage when playing at home in this fixture, we believe the draw is the most likely outcome here and is what we predict. Both teams have scored in five of the last six meetings, so we think it may pay to back a 1-1, 2-2, or 3-3 draw in the Correct Score Group Betting market at odds of 100/30. Also, because of the fact both teams regularly find the net in this fixture, Both Teams to Score looks a solid bet at odds of 5/6.
There has been at least one goal scored in each half in the last six meetings between these sides, so 1/1 for a goal in both halves here looks decent value. Both teams have scored in the first half in three of the last six meetings and backing them to do so here could prove to be a great value bet at odds of 4/1.
Top Betting Tip
Our top betting tip for this match is a draw in the match result market. There have been twelve draws in twenty-six meetings, and it looks the most likely outcome considering how both teams are playing this season. Back the draw in the match result market at odds of 21/10 with Sky Bet.