The 2022-23 UEFA Champions League quarterfinals continue Tuesday night with the second-leg action from Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy, so we have prepared the best Napoli vs. AC Milan betting pick and odds.
Napoli – AC Milan Betting Tip, Prediction & Odds (18.4.2023)
Napoli and AC Milan lock horns for the third time in just 16 days, and the Red and Blacks aim for their third consecutive victory over the Blues. Last Wednesday, AC Milan outlasted Napoli 1-0 in the first leg at home, but the bookmakers still favor the Blues to reach the semifinal of the 2022-23 UEFA Champions League.
Napoli vs. AC Milan: Initial Situation
After finishing top of Group A with 15 points (W5, L1) and a 20:6 goal difference, Napoli trounced Eintracht Frankfurt 5-0 on aggregate in the Round of 16. On the other side, AC Milan were second in Group E with ten points (W3, D1, L2) and a 12:7 goal difference. The Red and Blacks eliminated Tottenham 1-0 on aggregate in the previous round, winning the first leg in front of the home fans.
Napoli Stats & Form
The Blues have only won one of their previous four matches in all competitions while losing to AC Milan twice in that stretch. Back on April 2, Napoli was dismantled by the Red and Blacks 4-0 in the Serie A clash at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Last Saturday, the Blues failed to beat Verona in front of the home crowd, earning a disappointing nil-nil draw as surefire 1.50 favorites. Interestingly, none of Napoli’s last six matches at home has seen both teams score.
Victor Osimhen, who’s bagged 25 goals in 30 appearances in all competitions so far this season, missed the first leg against AC Milan due to an injury. He played the final 20 minutes versus Verona last weekend, and the 24-year-old striker should be ready to go Tuesday. The Blues cannot count on midfielders Frank Anguissa and Min-jae Kim due to suspensions, while striker Giovanni Simeone is sidelined with a muscle injury.
AC Milan Stats & Form
The Red and Blacks are coming off Saturday’s 1-1 road stalemate against Bologna in Serie A. It was their fourth draw in seven matches in all competitions along with a couple of wins over Napoli and a 3-1 road loss against Udinese. In their previous eight showings away from home, AC Milan haven’t impressed at all, tallying four defeat and a couple of wins and draws.
Olivier Giroud is AC Milan’s leading scorer with 12 goals in 37 matches this season. The veteran striker has also accounted for six assists, while winger Rafael Leao has 11 goals and 11 dishes on his season tally. Leao scored a brace in that 4-0 thrashing of Napoli in Serie A.
Napoli – AC Milan: Head-to-Head
AC Milan have posted four wins and three losses in their last seven encounters with Napoli. Last Wednesday, the Blues outshot the Red and Blacks 15-12, but AC Milan grabbed a huge victory thanks to Ismael Bennacer’s goal in the 40th minute of the first half.
Napoli – AC Milan Odds
Napoli have dominated Serie A for most of the 2022-23 season, and the bookmakers are expecting the Blues to prevail over AC Milan in the second leg of the Champions League quarterfinal. Both Unibet and bet365 offer 1.75 odds on Napoli at the moment, while Under 2.5 Goals pays 1.85 at BetVictor. Both Teams to Score YES/NO sits at 1.90/1.90 on bet365 Sportsbook.
I would be shocked by another AC Milan’s victory over Napoli. The Blues haven’t scored in their previous two dates with the Red and Blacks, and that will change in this clash. With Victor Osimhen back in the lineup, Napoli will be a more dangerous team than it was last Wednesday, while winger Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (14 goals and 16 assists this season) will continue to provide scoring chances for his teammates. Take the hosts to win and force extra time, at least.
Betting tip and prediction: Napoli – AC Milan (18.4.2023)