Round 28 of the 2022-23 Spanish La Liga season goes on Sunday, April 9, with four matches on the schedule, so we have prepared the best Almeria vs. Valencia betting pick along with the latest team stats, news, and odds update.
Almeria – Valencia Betting Tip, Prediction & Odds (9.4.2023)
The stakes are massive in this clash, as both Almeria and Valencia are fighting against relegation. With 11 rounds to go, there’s a lot of football to be played, but Sunday’s battle at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos might be pivotal for either club.
Almeria vs. Valencia: Initial Situation
Both teams have earned 27 points over the first 27 matches of the season. Almeria (W7, D6, L14) are 19th in La Liga with a 32:47 goal difference, while Valencia (also W7, D6, L14) are 17th thanks to a 29:32 goal difference.
Almeria Stats & Form
La Union are winless in four straight outings in the league, tallying a couple of points in that stretch. After a couple of losses against Villarreal 2-0 and Sevilla 2-1, Almeria have earned a pair of draws versus Cadiz 1-1 and Celta Vigo 2-2. La Union have been pretty inconsistent over their previous seven outings at home, recording three defeats and a couple of wins and draws in the process. Five of those seven tilts have seen two or fewer goals on the scoreboard.
The 21-year-old striker El Bilal Toure is Almeria’s top scorer with six goals in 2022-23. He’s sidelined with an injury and doubtful to play against Valencia. The 26-year-old midfielder Lucas Robertone is the team’s best assist-maker with six dishes, while three players have accounted for three goals apiece, including the 30-year-old forward Leo Baptistao.
Valencia Stats & Form
Los Che have been terrible for most of the season, but over their last five showings, Valencia have earned seven points (W2, D1, L2). Last Monday, they drew 1-1 against Rayo Vallecano at home. In their previous six outings on the road, Los Che haven’t scored a single goal while suffering six losses.
The 23-year-old winger Justin Kluivert, who’s on loan from AS Roma until the end of the season, leads the way for Los Che with seven goals and two assists in 2022-23. The veteran striker Edinson Cavani has also bagged seven goals thus far, while midfielders Andre Almeida and Hugo Guillamon have accounted for four dishes apiece.
Almeria – Valencia: Head-to-Head
In their first meeting of the season, Almeria and Valencia drew 2-2. It was their first duel since the 2014-15 season when Valencia earned a couple of 3-2 victories over Almeria. Each of their previous five encounters has seen both teams score and over two goals in total.
Almeria – Valencia Odds
We should see a tight battle between a couple of relegation candidates, so the bookmakers are not expecting a lot of goals. Under 2.5 Goals pays 1.73 at bet365 Sportsbook, and Both Teams to Score NO sits at 1.80 on BetVictor Sportsbook. The visitors are listed as slight favorites to come out on top, but frankly, this game could easily go three-way.
As I’ve already said, Valencia haven’t scored in six straight road matches, while Almeria will probably miss their top scorer Sunday. Hereof, give me Under 2.5 Goals at 1.73 odds with bet365. Neither team can afford a loss here, so I’m expecting them to take a cautious approach, trying to get at least a point. Whoever breaks the deadlock will start defending in numbers and look to waste time as much as possible.
Betting tip and prediction: Almeria – Valencia (9.4.2023)